37 Times “About to Be Reached”! Trump Repeatedly Hinted at an Iran Deal, But It Fell Through Again and Again

``` On June 9 local time, Trump once again stated that the US-Iran negotiations have entered the "final stage." According to Xinhua News Agency, Trump said in an interview with reporters at New York's Kennedy International Airport on the 9th, "We are at the final stage and will reach a very, very great agreement." When asked how much longer the negotiations would take, Trump replied, "Two to three days." However, according to media statistics, in the past two months, Trump has publicly released similar optimistic signals at least 37 times. Since the announcement of the ceasefire on April 7, his rhetoric has escalated from "very close to an agreement" to "Iran is willing to give everything," but there have been no substantive results. Analysts believe that this repeated pattern of statements is weakening their market reference value. Whether for the purpose of stabilizing financial markets or creating public pressure to promote negotiations, verbal signals lacking concrete progress have led investors to systematically lower their sensitivity. 37 Times "About to be Reached": A Timeline of Unfulfilled Statements According to CNN statistics, since March 23, Trump has publicly stated at least 37 times that the US-Iran agreement is "about to be reached" or that Iran "eagerly hopes to negotiate." The timeline shows that this pattern began even before the ceasefire. On March 23, Trump claimed both sides had reached consensus on "almost all key points," but Iran immediately denied any negotiations were taking place. After that, his rhetoric gradually escalated: on March 25, he said Iran "very much wants an agreement," on March 26, that Iran was "begging for an agreement," and on March 29, "I do foresee an Iran deal." After the ceasefire was announced on April 7, Trump described the original two-week negotiation window as the time required to "finalize" the agreement, but after two weeks, the agreement had not materialized. Afterward, he repeatedly reiterated that the deal was "very close" around April 15 and 17, and on April 30, he said Iran was "eager to reach an agreement." In May, the pace of such statements did not slow down. On May 18, he postponed military action by "two or three days" at the request of Middle Eastern countries, claiming all parties "believe we are very close to an agreement." On May 23, he said the agreement was "basically negotiated, awaiting final confirmation," and that an announcement would be made "very soon." On May 28, he reiterated in an interview that "we are close to a very good agreement." Signal Failure: Repeated Verbal Statements Erode Market Reference Value On May 18, Trump himself admitted that previous forecasts had failed: "We have had several periods where we thought we were pretty close to an agreement, but in the end, it did not succeed." Although he added, "This time is somewhat different," subsequent developments again showed that nothing had substantively changed. According to CNN analysis, Trump’s continued release of such signals may stem from miscalculation, an intention to stabilize financial markets, or an attempt to make his statements "self-fulfilling" through repetition. But regardless of motivation, this pattern has seriously eroded the market signal value of related statements. For the commodity and energy markets that depend on geopolitical risk premiums, a single political statement is no longer a reliable basis for trading. Before an agreement is substantively reached, the market has ample reason to apply a substantial discount to "about to be reached" verbal statements. Risk Reminder and Disclaimer The market involves risk; investments should be made cautiously. This article does not constitute personal investment advice, nor does it consider the specific investment goals, financial situations, or needs of any individual user. Users should consider whether any opinions, views, or conclusions in this article are applicable to their specific circumstances. Investment based on this is at your own risk. ```