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When will the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? The market bets on a recovery before the end of June, but the energy sector sees it happening after November.

When will the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? The market bets on a recovery before the end of June, but the energy sector sees it happening after November.

A major cognitive misalignment regarding the Strait of Hormuz is quietly fermenting between the market and energy industry insiders. Prediction market Polymarket shows an implied probability as high as 54% for a return to normal navigation by the end of June, with optimistic sentiment dominating pricing logic; however, oil and
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