DeepSeek makes a rare public statement, senior researcher Chen Deli: In the long term, AI may replace the vast majority of human jobs, and this is not an alarmist claim.

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DeepSeek broke nearly a year of public silence. On November 7, its senior researcher Chen Deli predicted at the World Internet Conference held in Wuzhen that, after a brief "honeymoon period," AI could replace the vast majority of human work within 10 to 20 years.

According to media reports, this was DeepSeek's first public appearance in nearly a year, since it caused a global sensation in January of this year with a low-cost, high-performance model.

In his speech, Chen Deli clearly outlined a three-stage evolutionary path: in the short term, humans and AI will collaborate to create greater value; in the medium term, some jobs will be replaced and unemployment risks will rise; in the long term, society may face large-scale job displacement.

From Honeymoon to Large-scale Replacement

At the conference, Chen Deli elaborated on his three-stage prediction of AI's impact on society, providing the market with a clear timeline reference.

First is the "honeymoon period" of the next 3 to 5 years. He believes that during this stage, AI will still be unable to independently complete many tasks, but humans can use AI as a powerful tool to achieve a "1+1>2" effect, solving more complex problems and creating greater value.

Second is the medium-term phase of 5 to 10 years, when risks will begin to emerge. Chen Deli predicts that by then, AI will be able to start replacing some human jobs, causing increased unemployment risk. He emphasized that at this time, technology companies should play the role of "whistleblowers," actively alerting the public to risks and raising their risk awareness.

Finally, there is the long-term stage of 10 to 20 years. Chen Deli warned that AI may replace "the remaining (human) jobs," and social order will face "tremendous challenges." He believes technology companies by then must assume the responsibility of "guardians of humanity," at least ensuring human safety and actively participating in the reshaping of social order.

AI Becomes an ‘Intelligent Subject’

To emphasize the seriousness of his prediction, Chen Deli made it clear, "The above views are not alarmist." He explained the fundamental difference between this AI revolution and any previous technological revolution, which forms the core logic of his long-term pessimism.

According to China Youth Daily, Chen Deli pointed out that in previous industrial revolutions, humans invented tools, but the subject of intelligence was always humans. However, in the ongoing AI revolution, AI itself can also become an "intelligent subject," and may even be smarter than humans in the future.

This fundamental shift means AI's impact on human society will far exceed that of any previous technology. It is precisely because the “subject of intelligence” itself may be replaced that its disruptive potential for employment, social structure, and even the status of humanity cannot be underestimated. Reuters quoted him as saying: “I am extremely optimistic about the technology itself, but I hold a negative view about its potential impact on society.”

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