End of Iran conflict expected to boost Asia-Pacific markets; South Korean stocks surge 6%, Japanese stocks rebound 3%, oil prices drop sharply

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On Tuesday, after Trump made remarks suggesting that the war with Iran might soon end, market risk sentiment improved, leading to a broad rebound in Asia-Pacific stocks. Japanese stocks surged 3%, South Korean stocks rebounded strongly by 6%, and oil prices dropped sharply.

According to Xinhua News Agency, on the 9th local time, U.S. President Trump stated at a press conference held in Miami, Florida, that the conflict with Iran would end "very soon," but "not" this week.

South Korea's Kospi index led the Asia-Pacific region, once rising more than 6% during the session. Samsung Electronics rose nearly 10%, and SK Hynix rose 12%.

Japan's Nikkei 225 index rose more than 3%. The index had recorded its largest single-day drop since last April in the previous session. The Nikkei Topix index rose as much as 3% during the session. The yield on Japan's 20-year government bonds fell by 4 basis points to 3.015%.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index climbed by about 1.5%, and the MSCI Asia-Pacific index as a whole rose 2.2%, reversing Monday's 3.7% decline.

The sharp drop in oil prices was a core factor in the improved market sentiment. Brent crude oil dropped nearly 10% to $89.39 per barrel. WTI crude oil fell more than 9% to around $86, both retreating sharply from Monday’s high of nearly $120.

It is worth mentioning that market interpretations of these signals are not uniform. Lazard Asset Management Chief Investment Officer Eric Van Nostrand said in an interview with Bloomberg Television that Trump’s remarks at the press conference "are not the most reliable signals," and investors have reason to remain cautious.

"There is a lot of mispriced optimism in the market right now, believing the situation will de-escalate quickly as it has in past Middle East tensions," he said, "but given that the Strait of Hormuz could remain closed for a long time, this time is very different and will have profound and substantial effects on the global economy."

Pepperstone Group research strategist Dilin Wu also cautioned that what we are seeing now is more of a brief respite after extreme risk aversion, rather than a true turning point signaling a return to risk-on sentiment.

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