Finally ended a 9-day losing streak! Oracle fell on 18 out of the past 22 trading days.

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After experiencing its longest losing streak since 2021, Oracle's stock finally stopped bleeding, but the depth and persistence of this decline still caught the market's attention.

Overnight, Oracle's stock closed up 2.49% at $143.76, ending a nine-day losing streak—the longest since June 15th—and marking its biggest single-day gain since then. During the session, the stock briefly touched $145.62, 3.8% higher than the previous closing price.

However, this rebound can hardly mask a deeper malaise. Since hitting a closing high of $248.15 on June 1, 2026, Oracle has recorded declines on 18 out of the past 22 trading days, with a cumulative drop of 26.2%.

Meanwhile, Wall Street analysts' bullish sentiment on the stock has reached its highest level in nearly two decades, with average target prices implying more than 80% upside from current levels—a stark contrast.

The Depth of the Decline: 56% Distance and a "True Crash"

This round of decline is rare in Oracle's recent history. Over the nine-day losing streak, the stock dropped a cumulative 24%, marking the longest stretch since December 2021. Expanding the time window, since the historical closing high of $324.33 on September 10, 2025, Oracle's stock has dropped a total of 56.2%; its decline over the past 52 weeks also reached 38.1%.

According to Barron's, what draws even more attention is that Oracle's recent decline has diverged from the broader software sector’s rebound. The iShares Expanded Technology Software ETF rose for five consecutive days ending last Thursday, with a total increase of over 10%, while Oracle fell during the same period. This divergence indicates Oracle is being dragged down by company-specific factors, not systemic industry pressures.

Capital expenditure and debt issues are the main risks hanging over Oracle and are widely seen as key reasons for its stock's underperformance.

Analysts believe Oracle needs external financing to support its capital expenditure plans, listing "financing challenges" as a major risk. The company's expanding spending and growing debt are core concerns for investors right now.

Analysts Strongly Support: 84% Buy Ratings, Target Price Implies 82% Upside

Despite continual stock pressure, Wall Street’s confidence in Oracle is historically high. According to FactSet, among analysts covering Oracle, 84% give a buy rating—this proportion has only been briefly exceeded in May 2011 over the past 20 years. The average target price is $254.84, implying around 82% upside from last Thursday’s closing price.

Mizuho Securities analyst Siti Panigrahi is the most optimistic, setting a target price of $320; Oracle is also a key recommended stock by Mizuho. Panigrahi wrote in last Thursday’s report, "Oracle’s end-to-end AI technology stack across database, infrastructure, and application layers makes it a core long-term beneficiary in the AI revolution."

KeyBanc’s analyst last month also raised Oracle's earnings forecast, citing growing confidence that the pace of operating expenses will remain moderate, and maintained an overweight rating with a $300 target price, believing "future upside comes from that."

With the AI infrastructure arms race heating up, whether Oracle can deliver growth while maintaining fiscal discipline will be the key variable determining whether the stock can approach analysts’ target prices.

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