IMF chief downplays sharp drop in the dollar: No sign of the dollar's role changing in the near term.
The President of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) downplayed the decline of the US dollar over the past year, stating that the dollar will likely maintain its dominant position.
IMF President Kristalina Georgieva said in an interview with the media on Monday:
We should not be swayed by short-term fluctuations in exchange rates. I do not see any change in the role of the dollar in the short term. People should seriously consider why the dollar plays such an important role in the international monetary system. The reasons include "the depth and liquidity of the US capital markets, the size of the economy, and America’s entrepreneurial spirit."
Georgieva reiterated a view she has expressed multiple times over the past year. She made these remarks during an IMF emerging markets meeting held in Al-Ula, Saudi Arabia.
The Bloomberg Dollar Index fell 8.1% last year, its largest decline since 2017. So far this year, the index has dropped another 1.3%, due to tariff policies under the Trump administration and deteriorating US fiscal conditions, which have sparked concerns among global investors.
US Treasury Secretary Besant stated last week that the US always pursues a strong dollar policy and the government has not intervened to devalue the dollar. His comments came shortly after Trump was asked whether he was concerned about the dollar’s depreciation, to which Trump replied: “No, I think it’s fine.”
Georgieva said that a weaker dollar may be a “good thing” for many emerging markets, as it helps reduce the interest burden of their external debts. Countries that borrow in dollars now need to pay less interest.
Previously, according to JPMorgan index data, the extra yield investors require to hold emerging market sovereign dollar bonds instead of US Treasuries has dropped to about 250 basis points. This is the lowest level since January 2013, and nearly 500 basis points narrower than at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic five years ago.
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