McDonald's Q3 net profit slightly declined, same-store sales exceeded expectations, "value meal" drives recovery in the U.S. market | Earnings Report News
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McDonald's third-quarter revenue and adjusted earnings per share both missed market expectations, but global same-store sales growth exceeded expectations, indicating that the company's efforts to attract cautious consumers by introducing "value meal deals" are paying off.
The latest earnings report released on Wednesday shows:
McDonald's third-quarter revenue was $7.08 billion, up 3% year-over-year, but slightly below the market expectation of $7.1 billion;
Third-quarter adjusted net profit was $2.31 billion, a slight decrease from $2.32 billion in the same period last year;
Adjusted earnings per share were $3.22, missing the analyst forecast of $3.32 and compared to $3.23 per share in the same period last year;
McDonald's global same-store sales grew 3.6%, slightly higher than analysts' average expectation of 3.55% growth. In the U.S. market, same-store sales rose 2.4%, mainly due to an increase in per-customer spend.
After the report was released, McDonald's shares fell briefly in pre-market U.S. trading but have since recovered, rising by 0.9%. The company's stock is up 3.2% year to date, underperforming the S&P 500's 15% gain over the same period. CEO Chris Kempczinski stated in the earnings report that the company is delivering "sustainable growth in a challenging environment."

"Value Meal" Promotions Drive U.S. Market Recovery, International Markets Still Face Traffic Challenges
In the third quarter, McDonald's U.S. same-store sales grew 2.4%, exceeding market expectations, mainly driven by higher per-customer spending. This increase was significantly higher than the 0.3% growth in the same period last year.
The company has continuously launched several promotional initiatives to restore its reputation as an affordable dining destination.
Reportedly, McDonald's has maintained its $5 value meal deal for over a year, and in August lowered the prices on certain combo meals and launched a "buy one, get one free" promotion covering products such as sausage biscuits and double cheeseburgers.
BTIG analyst Peter Saleh noted that the $2.99 snack wrap introduced in July spurred a surge in demand, but that momentum slowed in August and September. In September, the company relaunched the value meal and began working with franchisees to raise the nationwide combo meal discount from the current 10%-11% to 15%.
McDonald's international markets also performed strongly. International sales grew 4.3%, with Germany and Australia as the main drivers. Restaurant business operated by local partners saw sales jump 4.7%, mainly driven by the Japanese market.
However, foot traffic data indicates that challenges persist. According to data from foot traffic tracking company Placer.ai, McDonald's overall foot traffic fell 3.5% year-over-year between July and September, while the overall fast-food service category declined 2.3%.
Although McDonald's value meal strategy has been effective in the short term, analysts are concerned about its long-term sustainability. Once McDonald's financial support decreases, maintaining deep discounts may become challenging for franchisees.
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