The US and Iran are fighting again. Trump: Iran "does want" to reach a deal.
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Military friction between the US and Iran continues to escalate, but negotiations between the two sides have not ceased. Amidst sporadic exchanges of fire, Trump is still sending diplomatic signals, stating that Iran is willing to reach an agreement, keeping the market highly attentive to the direction of the situation.
According to Xinhua News Agency, the US Central Command announced on May 31 that it conducted "self-defense strikes" on radar and drone command and control facilities in Iran's Goruk region and Qeshm Island, in response to Iran shooting down a US MQ-1 drone that was carrying out missions over international waters. Previously, on May 25, the US military had struck missile launch sites in southern Iran and Iranian vessels attempting to lay mines. In the past few days, sporadic exchanges of fire have occurred several times between the two sides, and the situation remains tense.
Nevertheless, US President Trump posted on social media on June 1, saying that Iran "really wants" to reach an agreement, and that it would be "an agreement beneficial to the US and our allies". According to Xinhua News Agency, both the US and Iran state that negotiations are currently in the final stage, but there are still serious differences on the Iran nuclear issue and the Hormuz Strait issue.
Military Friction Continues to Escalate
According to CCTV International News, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps confirmed on June 1 that the US military recently attacked a communications tower on Sirik Island, Hormozgan Province, Iran. The Aerospace Force of the Guard Corps immediately retaliated against a US Air Force base that launched the attack and destroyed the intended target. The Guard Corps warned that if such acts of aggression happen again, Iran’s response will be “completely different.”
According to Xinhua News Agency, US Central Command carried out strikes against Iran from May 30 to 31, destroying Iran’s air defense systems, a ground control station, and two one-way attack drones that posed a "clear threat" to ships navigating regional waters. The US side claimed no casualties. The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said that a US MQ-1 drone entered Iranian territorial waters in the early morning, and Iran responded by shooting it down with a missile.
Prior to this, according to CCTV International News, the US Central Command spokesperson announced on the evening of May 25 US Eastern Time that the US military had conducted "self-defense strikes" in southern Iran, targeting missile launch sites and Iranian ships attempting to lay mines. The spokesperson also stated that the US military "will continue to exercise restraint during the current ceasefire." Statements from both sides indicate that military actions and the ceasefire framework exist in parallel, and the situation is highly unstable.
Negotiations Still Advance, Differences Remain Unresolved
Despite frequent military conflict, the diplomatic process has not come to a complete halt. According to Xinhua News Agency, Trump clearly stated in a post on June 1 that Iran is willing to reach an agreement and responded to domestic critics, saying that the Democrats and some Republicans "keep pessimistically chattering," demanding that he "either speed up, slow down, start a war, or don’t start a war," making negotiations more difficult. Trump said, "In the end, everything will be fine, it always is."
However, the prospects for negotiations remain unclear. According to Xinhua News Agency, Trump stated on May 29 that he would "make a final decision" on the US-Iran negotiations, but then proposed to further amend the agreement text. Serious differences between the two sides on the Iran nuclear issue and the Hormuz Strait issue make the outcome of the agreement very uncertain. As the Strait of Hormuz is a key global energy transport route, its developments directly affect the commodity market, and investors are closely watching the progress of negotiations.
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