Trump: No need to extend the ceasefire, the next two days will be exciting.

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The situation between the US and Iran is entering a critical window. Trump has made it clear that he has no intention of extending the ceasefire agreement with Iran, predicting that "the next two days will be very exciting," implying that there may be major turning points in negotiations or military developments in the short term.

According to Xinhua News Agency, in an interview with ABC on the 14th, Trump said that the conflict with Iran is "close to ending," that Iran is "eager" to reach an agreement, and hinted that both sides may return to the negotiating table in Pakistan within the next two days. When asked whether the conflict would end with an agreement or by "destroying Iran's capabilities," he said: "Both ways are possible, but I think reaching an agreement is preferable."

Meanwhile, US Central Command announced that less than 36 hours after the maritime blockade was implemented, Iran's maritime import and export trade has been completely cut off. According to The Wall Street Journal, citing anonymous US officials, the US Navy has intercepted eight oil tankers entering and leaving Iranian ports since the 13th. About 90% of Iran's economy relies on maritime trade. This blockade poses a direct blow to its economy and further strengthens the US's negotiating leverage.

US Vice President Vance meanwhile played down external expectations, saying that there is massive mutual distrust between the US and Iran, and the problem "cannot be solved overnight". Trump is after a "grand deal" instead of "petty agreements." The previous round of talks in Islamabad ended without agreement on the 12th, with both sides acknowledging major differences. The "next two days" mentioned by Trump may become a critical juncture for the US-Iran situation.

Ceasefire Will Not Be Extended, Trump Says Next Two Days Are Key

On the 7th, Trump announced a two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran. When pressed about an extension, he gave a clear refusal on the 14th, saying "I don’t think it's necessary." In an interview with ABC, he said: "I think the next two days will be very exciting, I really do."

Xinhua News Agency reported that earlier that day, a statement Trump made on Fox News triggered some confusion. Reporter Maria Bartiromo posted on social media that Trump had said "the war is over," leading several media outlets to report accordingly. Hours later, Maria Bartiromo released the "full conversation" transcript for clarification—Trump’s exact words were that the conflict is "close to ending," while also stating clearly "we’re not finished yet."

Trump also defended the US military action, saying: "If I didn't do this, Iran would already have nuclear weapons." He added that even though the conflict is close to ending, "If I withdrew now, it would take them 20 years to rebuild the country," implying the US will not completely lift pressure on Iran in the short term.

Previously, Trump stated that a new round of negotiations with Iran could occur "within the next two days." He said something could happen in Islamabad in the next two days: "We are more inclined to go there." Multiple outlets revealed the US and Iran are discussing holding a second round of talks, with the schedule yet to be determined. Negotiations could take place later this week or early next week; US officials are looking for possible time and place. If talks between the US, Iran, and mediators make progress in the coming days, and if Trump thinks Iran is willing to accept US demands, he is willing to restart talks quickly.

Full Maritime Blockade Squeezes Iranian Economy

On the military front, US Central Command issued a statement on the 14th saying the blockade of Iranian ports is fully in effect. It stated the blockade began at 10 a.m. Eastern Time on the 13th, and within less than 36 hours, the US military had "completely cut off Iran’s maritime import and export economy," while about 90% of Iran's economy depends on international maritime trade.

According to The Wall Street Journal, citing anonymous US officials, the US Navy has intercepted eight oil tankers entering and leaving Iranian ports. During the intercepts, radio contact was made with crews to order a change of course; "All tankers cooperated, and no onboard inspections were needed." The first two tankers intercepted departed from Chabahar Port in Iran and were hailed by a US destroyer; US forces also deployed P-8 maritime patrol aircraft for the mission.

US Central Command stated on social media on the 14th that more than 10,000 US Navy, Marine Corps, and Air Force personnel, over ten warships, and dozens of aircraft are engaged in the blockade. However, UK-based maritime analytics firm Windward reported on the 14th that some ships were still passing through the Strait of Hormuz after implementation, and navigation hadn’t stopped entirely.

Vance Warns Against Expecting Quick Results, Negotiation Gaps Remain

On the diplomatic front, Vance said at a University of Georgia event on the 14th that he believed the US-Iran talks in Pakistan had made "significant progress," but warned that there is massive mutual distrust between the US and Iran, and "it's impossible to expect problems to be resolved overnight." He stressed that Trump doesn't want a "petty agreement," but a "grand deal," and "we will continue insisting on negotiations and do our utmost to make it happen."

Vance said he believes Iran's negotiators want to reach an agreement, and the US side is "negotiating with sincerity," but "in the end, no one can predict the result." US media reported that if the US and Iran hold a second face-to-face talk, Vance is expected to again lead the US delegation.

The last round of talks began on the 11th in Islamabad, Pakistan, and ended in the morning of the 12th without any agreement. The Iranian side said the talks were "held in an atmosphere of distrust and suspicion," and that there are differences on two or three major issues; the US said they had made their "red lines" very clear, but Iran wouldn’t accept US conditions. With both the tightening blockade and the closing ceasefire window, the "next two days" mentioned by Trump will, to a large extent, determine the final direction of this conflict.

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