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U.S. "blockade" approaches, oil prices surge past $100, gold plummets, U.S. stock futures fall

U.S. "blockade" approaches, oil prices surge past $100, gold plummets, U.S. stock futures fall

``` The US-Iran peace talks failed over the weekend, and Trump immediately announced the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. On Monday, global markets experienced intense turbulence, the energy supply shock escalated comprehensively, oil and gas prices surged, and inflation expectations reignited; risk assets came under pressure, US stock futures fell,

Besant informed Trump: If the war lasts 8-12 weeks, the US faces the risk of rising oil prices, with Asia and Europe being the most affected.

Besant informed Trump: If the war lasts 8-12 weeks, the US faces the risk of rising oil prices, with Asia and Europe being the most affected.

``` Intense risk assessments and policy discussions have already begun within the Trump administration regarding the economic costs of the Iran war. Treasury Secretary Besant directly warned the president: if the conflict drags on for 8 to 12 weeks, the U.S. will face a fragile exposure to rising gasoline prices,

The US military stated, "Sea traffic at Iranian ports will be blocked starting from April 13." The report said the UK will not participate, and Iran called it "ridiculous and laughable."

The US military stated, "Sea traffic at Iranian ports will be blocked starting from April 13." The report said the UK will not participate, and Iran called it "ridiculous and laughable."

``` US Central Command: Blockade of Iranian Port Maritime Traffic Starting April 13 Local time April 12, the US Central Command issued a statement saying that according to a presidential proclamation, US Central Command forces will implement a blockade of all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports starting at 10

"Tisa Party, 'pro-European Union,' wins Hungarian parliamentary election, ending Orban's 16 consecutive years in power."

"Tisa Party, 'pro-European Union,' wins Hungarian parliamentary election, ending Orban's 16 consecutive years in power."

Preliminary ballot results released by Hungary’s National Election Office on the evening of the 12th show that the Tisza Party, led by Péter Magyar, won the parliamentary election held that day. According to 96.37% of votes counted, the Tisza Party received 53.69% of the votes and is

Istanbul talks collapse, Trump chooses "lockdown," oil prices "repriced" on Monday

Istanbul talks collapse, Trump chooses "lockdown," oil prices "repriced" on Monday

This week, oil prices fell from $112 to $94 per barrel, trading on a straightforward story: ceasefire → reopening of the strait → supply returns → oil prices shift down. By Friday's close, Brent returned to $96-97; the market believes this story is still ongoing. On Saturday US time in Islamabad,

Trump says the US military will block any ships attempting to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump says the US military will block any ships attempting to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz.

``` On April 12 local time, U.S. President Trump posted on social media that, effective immediately, the U.S. Navy will begin to blockade all ships attempting to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz, intercept and inspect all vessels in international waters that pay passage fees to Iran, and

BofA Hartnett: Stocks were the biggest winners in the first five years of the 2020s; commodities will be the winners in the next five years.

BofA Hartnett: Stocks were the biggest winners in the first five years of the 2020s; commodities will be the winners in the next five years.

``` The global macro landscape is undergoing profound restructuring. Bank of America's chief investment officer Michael Hartnett believes that stocks were the winners in the first half of the 2020s, but in the second half, the market’s main trend will shift from U.S. stocks and the U.